Article 43


Monday, May 01, 2023

The Next Recession Part 32 - Bigger Than 2008

image: lehman and svb banks
With the real wages and salaries of American civilian workers lower than 5 years ago, with their debts at all time highs, with the prices of their main asset--their homes--under pressure from overbuilding and fraudulent finance, and with scant opportunities to rise for the children they struggled to educate, Americans face a dim future.
- Return of the Robber Barons, 2007
We’ve got strong financial institutions… Our markets are the envy of the world. They’re resilient, they’re innovative, they’re flexible. I think we move very quickly to address situations in this country, and, as I said, our financial institutions are strong....
- Henry Paulson, Real Clear Politics , March, 2008
“Long live the welfare king.” This person really exists, his name is James E. Cayne, and taxpayers just handed him almost $50 million. Mr. Cayne got this gift when J.P. Morgan renegotiated the terms of its takeover of BEAR STEARNS. The buying price went up fivefold, fetching Bear Stearns stockholders $1.2 billion instead of the $236 million in the agreement brokered by the Fed last week… James E. Cayne did especially well AS A RESULT of the taxpayer’s generosity because as the former CEO of Bear Stearns, and current chairman, he owned a great deal of the company’s stock.
- CEO Welfare, Truthout 2008
I have full confidence in banking regulators to take appropriate actions in response and noted that the banking system remains resilient and regulators have effective tools to address this type of event. Let me be clear that during the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out . . . and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again.
- Janet Yellen, 3/12/23


The Banking Collapse Of 2023 Is Now Officially Bigger Than The Banking Collapse Of 2008 Was

By Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog
May 1, 2023

Yes, you read the headline correctly.  Collectively, the THREE BANKS that have collapsed in 2023 had more assets than all 25 banks that collapsed in 2008 did.  Unfortunately, the banking collapse of 2023 is far from over.  We still have eight more months to go before this year is done, and many more banks are currently teetering on the brink of disaster.  Executives at those banks are telling us not to worry, but of course executives at First Republic were issuing similar assurances just last week.  Personally, I had heard that First Republic supposedly had enough reserves to keep going for months.  But that was a lie, and now First Republic is toast.  The following comes from the official statement that THE FDIC ISSUED when it took over the bank

First Republic Bank, San Francisco, California, was closed today by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. To protect depositors, the FDIC is entering into a purchase and assumption agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, Columbus, Ohio, to assume all of the deposits and substantially all of the assets of First Republic Bank.

JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association submitted a bid for all of First Republic Bank’s deposits. As part of the transaction, First Republic Banks 84 offices in eight states will reopen as branches of JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, today during normal business hours. All depositors of First Republic Bank will become depositors of JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, and will have full access to all of their deposits.

The government was not going to allow just anyone to snap up the assets of First Republic.

JPMorgan Chase was one of the institutions that was invited to make a bid, and they came out of this process AS THE BIG WINNERS:

JPMorgan is getting about $92 billion in deposits in the deal, which includes the $30 billion that it and other large banks put into First Republic last month. The bank is taking on $173 billion in loans and $30 billion in securities as well.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation agreed to absorb most of the losses on mortgages and commercial loans that JPMorgan is getting, and also provided it with a $50 billion credit line.

In addition to providing JPMorgan Chase with a 50 billion dollar credit line, the FDIC will also take a loss on this deal of approximately 13 billion dollars.  So they are definitely ONE OF THE BIG LOOSERS IN THIS DEAL

The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund will be about $13 billion. This is an estimate and the final cost will be determined when the FDIC terminates the receivership.

Needless to say, the biggest losers of all are the shareholders of First Republic.


Stockholders got bailed in and wiped out. They’d already been mostly wiped out by Friday evening in one of the most spectacular stock plunges ever.

Holders of the unsecured subordinated bank notes got bailed in and wiped out just about entirely. This is a form of preferred stock. For example, the 4.625% bank notes, issued in 2017, traded at less than 2 cents on the dollar this morning, another spectacular plunge.

As I have always warned, you only make money in the stock market if you get out in time.

Shareholders of First Republic found that out the hard way.

In comments that he made after the deal was consummated, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon boldly declared that “this part of the crisis is over:

“There are only so many banks that were offsides this way,” Dimon told analysts in a call shortly after the deal was announced.

“There may be another smaller one, but this pretty much resolves them all,” Dimon said. “This part of the crisis is over.”

And the U.S. Treasury is telling us that the U.S. banking system “REMAINS SOUND AND RESILIENT”.

‘The banking system remains sound and resilient, and Americans should feel confident in the safety of their deposits and the ability of the banking system to fulfil its essential function of providing credit to businesses and families,’ a Treasury spokesperson said.

Does reading that make you feel better?

It shouldnt.

They always offer such platitudes before things start getting really bad.

As I noted at the beginning of this article, the three banks that have collapsed so far this year were collectively bigger than all of the banks that collapsed in 2008 COMBINED:

The three banks held a combined total of $532 billion in assets, which - according to the New York Times and when adjusted for inflation - is more than the $526 billion held by all the US banks that collapsed in 2008 at the peak of the financial crisis.

We are only one-third of the way through 2023.

And as Charlie Munger RECENTLY OBSERVED, many of our banks are absolutely packed with “bad loans” right now҅

Charlie Munger believes there is trouble ahead for the U.S. commercial property market.

The 99-year-old investor told the Financial Times that U.S. banks are packed with “bad loans” that will be vulnerable as “bad times come” and property prices fall.

He is quite correct.

In particular, the collapse of commercial real estate prices threatens to create A MASSIVE TSUNAMI OF DEFAULTS:

Berkshire Hathaway, where Munger serves as vice chairman, has largely stayed on the fringe of the crisis despite its history of supporting American banks through times of turmoil. Munger, who is also Warren Buffett’s longtime investment partner, suggested that Berkshires restraint is partially due to risks that could emerge from banks’ numerous commercial property loans.

“A lot of real estate isnt so good anymore,” Munger said. “We have a lot of troubled office buildings, a lot of troubled shopping centers, a lot of troubled other properties. There’s a lot of agony out there.”

As I keep telling my readers, we really are on the verge of the largest commercial real estate crash in all of U.S. history.

And as mountains of commercial real estate loans go bad, a lot more banks will start to go under.

The “too big to fail” banks will scoop up those that they like, while others are simply liquidated and go out of existence.

Ultimately, I believe that we are going to see a wave of consolidation in the banking industry like we never have before.

We are still only in the VERY EARLY CHAPTERS of this crisis.  Much worse is yet to come.

It is going to take a while for all the dominoes to fall, but each time another one tumbles over it will be a sign that the clock is ticking and that time is running out for the U.S. financial system.

About the Author: My name is Michael and my brand new book entitled END TIMES is now available on Amazon[.]com.  In addition to my new book I have written six other books that are available on Amazon[.]com including 7 YEAR APOCALYPSE, LOST PROPHECIES OF THE FUTURE OF AMERICA, THE BEGINNING OF THE END, and LIVING A LIFE THAT REALLY MATTERS (#CommissionsEarned) When you purchase any of these books you help to support the work that I am doing, and one way that you can really help is by sending copies as gifts to family and friends.  Time is short, and I need help getting these warnings into the hands of as many people as possible.  I have also started a BRAND NEW SUBSTACK NEWSLETTER, and I encourage you to subscribe so that you wont miss any of the latest updates.  I have published thousands of articles on The Economic Collapse Blog, End Of The American Dream and The Most Important News, and the articles that I publish on those sites are republished on dozens of other prominent websites all over the globe.  I always freely and happily allow others to republish my articles on their own websites, but I also ask that they include this About the Author section with each article.  The material contained in this article is for general information purposes only, and readers should consult licensed professionals before making any legal, business, financial or health decisions.  I encourage you to follow me on social media on FACEBOOK and TWITTER, and any way that you can share these articles with others is definitely a great help.  These are such troubled times, and people need hope.  John 3:16 tells us about the hope that God has given us through Jesus Christ: “For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life.” If you have not already done so, I strongly urge you to invite Jesus Christ TO BE YOUR LORD AND SAVIOR today.


Posted by Elvis on 05/01/23 •
Section Dying America • Section Next Recession, Next Depression
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